(From the diaries. – promoted by James L.)
Numbers courtesy of The Washington Post and the Senate 2008 Guru.
January ’07
DSCC: $2.2 million
NRSC: $0.9 million
February ’07
DSCC: $2.7 million
NRSC: $2.4 million
March ’07
DSCC: $8.8 million
NRSC: $3.7 million
Q1 Take
DSCC: $13.7 million
NRSC: $ 7.0 million
Cash-on-hand at end of March ’07
DSCC: $9.50 million ($6 million debt)
NRSC: $3.45 million ($0 debt)
Observations:
1) DSCC had a better March than the NRSC had for its entire Q1
2) DSCC’s cash-on-hand advantage is larger than the debt difference (so let’s pay off some of that debt and get it out of the way!)
3) Who has the momentum is clear.
Democratic Senators up for re-election in 2008
1)Pryor-AR
2)Biden-DE
3)Durbin-IL
4)Harkin-IA
5)Landrieu-LA
6)Kerry-MA
7)Levin-MI
8)Baucus-MT
9)Lautenberg-NJ
10)Reed-RI
11)Johnson-SD
12)Rockefeller-WV
I expect Reed(RI) to run unopposed.
Biden(DE),Durbin(IL),Kerry(MA),Levin(MI),Baucus(MT),and Rockefeller(WV) will face token opposition.
Pryor(AR),Harkin(IA) and Lautenberg(NJ) will face credible oppositon but Incumbent Party is strongly favored to win
Landrieu(LA) and Johnson(SD) fate is up in the air.
Republican Side
1)Sessions-AL
2)Stevens-AK
3)Allard-OPEN-CO
4)Chambliss-GA
5)Craig-ID
6)Roberts-KS
7)McConnell-KY
8)Collins-ME
9)Coleman-MN
10)Cochran-MS
11)Hagel-NE
12)Sununu-NH
13)Domenici-NM
14)Dole-NC
15)Inhofe-OK
16)Smith-OR
17)Graham-SC
18)Alexander-TN
19)Cornyn-TX
20)Warner-VA
21)Enzi-WY
Safe Republican category
1)Sessions-AL
2)Stevens-AK
3)Chambliss-GA
4)Craig-ID
5)Roberts-KS
6)McConnell-KY
7)Cochran-MS
8)Hagel-NE
9)Inhofe-OK
10)Graham-SC
11)Alexander-TN
12)Cornyn-TX
13)Enzi- WY
Democratic Pickups
Open-CO
New Mexico- if OPen or a top tier challenger(Udall,Madrid,or Chavez challenges the senile and scandal plagued Pete.
Virginia- of Open-(Mark Warner)
Tossups
Sununu(NH
Coleman(MN
Collins-ME
Watch list Smith(OR) and Dole(NC)